Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Reliant Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Houston Texans a 7-point favourite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 39.5.
Moneylines sit at +240 for Tennessee Titans and -298 for Houston Texans, a devigged 72% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.3 for Tennessee Titans and 23.3 for Houston Texans.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 189 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 259 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 79 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Reliant Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -7 |
| Total | 39.5 |
| Moneyline (TEN / HOU) | +240 / -298 |
| HOU implied win probability | 72% |
| Implied team totals (TEN — HOU) | 16.3 — 23.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.