Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 8.5-point favourite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +300 for Las Vegas Raiders and -380 for Kansas City Chiefs, a devigged 76% win probability for Kansas City Chiefs; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16 for Las Vegas Raiders and 24.5 for Kansas City Chiefs.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 183 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards; Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 236 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 82 rushing yards and 33 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | KC -8.5 |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (LV / KC) | +300 / -380 |
| KC implied win probability | 76% |
| Implied team totals (LV — KC) | 16.0 — 24.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.