Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Paycor Stadium

Prediction: Bengals 26, Browns 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 75% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Browns @ Bengals, on one screen.

Browns18.0win 25%
Market-implied score
Bengals25.5win 75%
SpreadCIN -7.5
Total43.5
Moneyline+280 / -355
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side

Browns vs Bengals prediction

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 7.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +280 for Cleveland Browns and -355 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 75% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18 for Cleveland Browns and 25.5 for Cincinnati Bengals.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Shedeur Sanders (QB) at 229 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 247 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati Bengals take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Browns at Bengals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -7.5
Total43.5
Moneyline (CLE / CIN)+280 / -355
CIN implied win probability75%
Implied team totals (CLE — CIN)18.0 — 25.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Browns and Bengals this season

Games before Week 18. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Cleveland Browns5-46-35-417.921.87
Cincinnati Bengals6-24-3-15-330.021.910

Browns' last 3 games: L 22-23 @ NO · L 6-27 @ PIT · W 27-24 @ TEN.

Bengals' last 3 games: W 34-17 @ ATL · W 43-36 vs TEN · W 35-13 @ BAL.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 18.0 market-implied pts
Shedeur Sanders (QB) — 229 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 60 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Denzel Boston (WR) — 53 rec yds · 4.1 rec
Cincinnati Bengals · 25.5 market-implied pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 247 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Chase Brown (RB) — 59 rush yds · 26 rec yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 84 rec yds · 7.0 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Browns @ Bengals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Browns @ Bengals matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule

Browns 2026 schedule

Bengals 2026 schedule