Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Thursday, December 31, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Paycor Stadium

Prediction: Bengals 27, Ravens 25 (market-implied). The market gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 55% chance to win. · Updated

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Ravens24.5win 45%
Market-implied score
Bengals27.0win 55%
SpreadCIN -2.5
Total51.5
Moneyline+114 / -135
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Ravens vs Bengals prediction

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 2.5-point favorite over Baltimore Ravens, with the game total at 51.5.

Moneylines sit at +114 for Baltimore Ravens and -135 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 55% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Baltimore Ravens and 27 for Cincinnati Bengals.

The spread has moved from CIN -2 to CIN -2.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 51 to 51.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 214 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 85 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 255 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Ja'Marr Chase (WR) at 85 receiving yards and 7.2 catches.

Kickoff is Thursday, December 31, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Ravens at Bengals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -2.5 (open CIN -2)
Total51.5 (open 51)
Moneyline (BAL / CIN)+114 / -135
CIN implied win probability55%
Implied team totals (BAL — CIN)24.5 — 27.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Ravens and Bengals this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.24
Cincinnati Bengals6-24-3-15-330.021.94

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Bengals' last 3 games: W 34-17 @ ATL · W 43-36 vs TEN · W 35-13 @ BAL.

Player projections

Baltimore Ravens · 24.5 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 214 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 85 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 3 rush yds · 71 rec yds
Cincinnati Bengals · 27.0 market-implied pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 255 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 85 rec yds · 7.2 rec
Chase Brown (RB) — 51 rush yds · 27 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Ravens @ Bengals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule

Bengals 2026 schedule