Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinnati Bengals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 14 2026

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Paycor Stadium

Prediction: Bengals 25, Chiefs 24 (market-implied). The market gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Chiefs @ Bengals, on one screen.

Chiefs23.5win 47%
Market-implied score
Bengals25.0win 53%
SpreadCIN -1.5
Total48.5
Moneyline+105 / -125
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Chiefs vs Bengals prediction

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 1.5-point favorite over Kansas City Chiefs, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +105 for Kansas City Chiefs and -125 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 53% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for Kansas City Chiefs and 25 for Cincinnati Bengals.

The total has moved from 49 to 48.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 246 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 24 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 256 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Ja'Marr Chase (WR) at 84 receiving yards and 7.2 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium, Kansas City Chiefs take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Chiefs at Bengals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -1.5
Total48.5 (open 49)
Moneyline (KC / CIN)+105 / -125
CIN implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (KC — CIN)23.5 — 25.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chiefs and Bengals this season

Games before Week 14. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Kansas City Chiefs6-24-43-525.317.910
Cincinnati Bengals6-24-3-15-330.021.97

Chiefs' last 3 games: W 35-12 vs NYJ · L 24-28 @ DEN · L 3-20 @ SEA.

Bengals' last 3 games: W 34-17 @ ATL · W 43-36 vs TEN · W 35-13 @ BAL.

Player projections

Kansas City Chiefs · 23.5 market-implied pts
Patrick Mahomes (QB) — 246 pass yds · 19 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III (RB) — 81 rush yds · 24 rec yds
Rashee Rice (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.7 rec
Cincinnati Bengals · 25.0 market-implied pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 256 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 84 rec yds · 7.2 rec
Chase Brown (RB) — 56 rush yds · 29 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chiefs @ Bengals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chiefs @ Bengals matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 14 games

← Week 13 · Week 15 → · Full 2026 schedule

Chiefs 2026 schedule

Bengals 2026 schedule