Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Paycor Stadium
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 1.5-point favourite over Kansas City Chiefs, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Kansas City Chiefs and -125 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 53% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for Kansas City Chiefs and 25 for Cincinnati Bengals.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 258 passing yards and 23 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 79 rushing yards and 35 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 231 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Paycor Stadium, Kansas City Chiefs take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -1.5 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (KC / CIN) | +105 / -125 |
| CIN implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (KC — CIN) | 23.5 — 25.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.