New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 14 2026

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Bank of America Stadium

Prediction: Panthers 23, Saints 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Carolina Panthers a 55% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Saints @ Panthers, on one screen.

Saints20.5win 45%
Market-implied score
Panthers23.0win 55%
SpreadCAR -2.5
Total43.5
Moneyline+114 / -135
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side

Saints vs Panthers prediction

The market makes Carolina Panthers a 2.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +114 for New Orleans Saints and -135 for Carolina Panthers, a devigged 55% win probability for Carolina Panthers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for New Orleans Saints and 23 for Carolina Panthers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 230 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 69 receiving yards and 5.5 catches; Carolina Panthers — Bryce Young (QB) at 224 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Chuba Hubbard (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Bank of America Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Saints at Panthers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCAR -2.5
Total43.5
Moneyline (NO / CAR)+114 / -135
CAR implied win probability55%
Implied team totals (NO — CAR)20.5 — 23.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Saints and Panthers this season

Games before Week 14. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New Orleans Saints3-53-55-323.127.07
Carolina Panthers3-53-54-424.927.47

Saints' last 3 games: W 23-22 vs CLE · L 10-16 vs PIT · W 34-27 @ NYG.

Panthers' last 3 games: L 21-26 vs DEN · L 19-27 @ GB · L 13-43 vs TB.

Player projections

New Orleans Saints · 20.5 market-implied pts
Tyler Shough (QB) — 230 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Chris Olave (WR) — 69 rec yds · 5.5 rec
Alvin Kamara (RB) — 44 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Carolina Panthers · 23.0 market-implied pts
Bryce Young (QB) — 224 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Chuba Hubbard (RB) — 69 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Tetairoa McMillan (WR) — 64 rec yds · 5.0 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Saints @ Panthers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 14 games

← Week 13 · Week 15 → · Full 2026 schedule

Saints 2026 schedule

Panthers 2026 schedule