Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Huntington Bank Field
The market makes Cleveland Browns a 1.5-point favourite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Atlanta Falcons and -125 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 53% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for Atlanta Falcons and 21 for Cleveland Browns.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 203 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 91 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 205 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Huntington Bank Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CLE -1.5 |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (ATL / CLE) | +105 / -125 |
| CLE implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (ATL — CLE) | 19.5 — 21.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.