Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · EverBank Stadium
The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 8.8-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +345 for Cleveland Browns and -442 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 78% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 15.9 for Cleveland Browns and 24.6 for Jacksonville Jaguars.
The spread has moved from -7.5 to -8.7 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 215 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 53 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 203 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at EverBank Stadium.
Final: Jacksonville Jaguars won 34-10 (home, over).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: home. Total: over.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -8.75 (open -7.5) |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (CLE / JAX) | +345 / -442 |
| JAX implied win probability | 78% |
| Implied team totals (CLE — JAX) | 15.9 — 24.6 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.