Cleveland Browns @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium

Game preview

The market makes New York Giants a 4.5-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 40.5.

Moneylines sit at +170 for Cleveland Browns and -205 for New York Giants, a devigged 64% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18 for Cleveland Browns and 22.5 for New York Giants.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 199 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 199 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Browns at Giants — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadNYG -4.5
Total40.5
Moneyline (CLE / NYG)+170 / -205
NYG implied win probability64%
Implied team totals (CLE — NYG)18.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 18.0 proj pts
Deshaun Watson (QB) — 199 pass yds · 26 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 49 rush yds · 17 rec yds
KC Concepcion (WR) — 9 rush yds · 41 rec yds
New York Giants · 22.5 proj pts
Jameis Winston (QB) — 199 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 63 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 51 rec yds · 4.2 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule