Cleveland Browns @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Prediction: Giants 23, Browns 18 (market-implied). The market gives the New York Giants a 64% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Browns @ Giants, on one screen.

Browns18.0win 36%
Market-implied score
Giants22.5win 64%
SpreadNYG -4.5
Total40.5
Moneyline+170 / -205
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Browns vs Giants prediction

The market makes New York Giants a 4.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 40.5.

Moneylines sit at +170 for Cleveland Browns and -205 for New York Giants, a devigged 64% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18 for Cleveland Browns and 22.5 for New York Giants.

The total has moved from 40 to 40.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Shedeur Sanders (QB) at 219 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards; New York Giants — J.J. McCarthy (QB) at 226 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Browns at Giants — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadNYG -4.5
Total40.5 (open 40)
Moneyline (CLE / NYG)+170 / -205
NYG implied win probability64%
Implied team totals (CLE — NYG)18.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Browns and Giants this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Cleveland Browns5-46-35-417.921.87
New York Giants5-2-16-25-322.821.57

Browns' last 3 games: L 22-23 @ NO · L 6-27 @ PIT · W 27-24 @ TEN.

Giants' last 3 games: W 19-11 @ PHI · W 27-21 @ HOU · L 27-34 vs NO.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 18.0 market-implied pts
Shedeur Sanders (QB) — 219 pass yds · 21 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 60 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Denzel Boston (WR) — 52 rec yds · 4.0 rec
New York Giants · 22.5 market-implied pts
J.J. McCarthy (QB) — 226 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 68 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 75 rec yds · 6.7 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Browns @ Giants, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Browns @ Giants matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Browns 2026 schedule

Giants 2026 schedule