Monday, December 28, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · Ford Field (indoors)
The market makes Detroit Lions a 4.5-point favourite over New York Giants, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +170 for New York Giants and -205 for Detroit Lions, a devigged 64% win probability for Detroit Lions; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for New York Giants and 27 for Detroit Lions.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 242 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 275 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 97 rushing yards and 35 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Monday, December 28, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at Ford Field, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -4.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (NYG / DET) | +170 / -205 |
| DET implied win probability | 64% |
| Implied team totals (NYG — DET) | 22.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.