Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Caesars Superdome (indoors)

Game preview

The market makes New Orleans Saints a 5.5-point favourite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at +200 for Arizona Cardinals and -245 for New Orleans Saints, a devigged 68% win probability for New Orleans Saints; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for Arizona Cardinals and 25 for New Orleans Saints.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Arizona Cardinals — Jacoby Brissett (QB) at 214 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Jeremiyah Love (RB) at 44 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 261 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 81 receiving yards and 6.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Caesars Superdome, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Cardinals at Saints — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadNO -5.5
Total44.5
Moneyline (ARI / NO)+200 / -245
NO implied win probability68%
Implied team totals (ARI — NO)19.5 — 25.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Arizona Cardinals · 19.5 proj pts
Jacoby Brissett (QB) — 214 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Jeremiyah Love (RB) — 44 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Trey McBride (TE) — 62 rec yds · 6.8 rec
New Orleans Saints · 25.0 proj pts
Tyler Shough (QB) — 261 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Chris Olave (WR) — 81 rec yds · 6.6 rec
Travis Etienne (RB) — 43 rush yds · 27 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule