Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes San Francisco 49ers a 8.5-point favourite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 44.5.
Moneylines sit at -410 for San Francisco 49ers and +320 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 23% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.5 for San Francisco 49ers and 18 for Arizona Cardinals.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 227 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 50 rushing yards and 36 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Jacoby Brissett (QB) at 202 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Jeremiyah Love (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at State Farm Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SF -8.5 |
| Total | 44.5 |
| Moneyline (SF / ARI) | -410 / +320 |
| ARI implied win probability | 23% |
| Implied team totals (SF — ARI) | 26.5 — 18.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.