Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Lumen Field
The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 3.5-point favourite over San Francisco 49ers, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at +170 for San Francisco 49ers and -205 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 64% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for San Francisco 49ers and 26 for Seattle Seahawks.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 231 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 43 rushing yards and 36 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Drew Lock (QB) at 196 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 79 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Lumen Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SEA -3.5 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (SF / SEA) | +170 / -205 |
| SEA implied win probability | 64% |
| Implied team totals (SF — SEA) | 22.5 — 26.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.