San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Lumen Field

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

49ers32market had 21.9
Final
Seahawks29market had 24.9
SpreadSEA -3
Total46.75
Moneyline+140 / -165
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 3-point favorite over San Francisco 49ers, with the game total at 46.75.

Moneylines sit at +140 for San Francisco 49ers and -165 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 60% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.9 for San Francisco 49ers and 24.9 for Seattle Seahawks.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 232 passing yards and 18 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 53 rushing yards and 40 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Sam Darnold (QB) at 231 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 98 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Lumen Field.

Final: San Francisco 49ers won 32-29; San Francisco 49ers covered the spread (SEA -3) and the game went over the 46.75 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

SF 32 — SEA 29

San Francisco 49ers covered the spread (SEA -3) and the game went over the 46.75 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for 49ers at Seahawks — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 4:23 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadSEA -3
Total46.75 (open 47)
Moneyline (SF / SEA)+140 / -165
SEA implied win probability60%
Implied team totals (SF — SEA)21.9 — 24.9

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

49ers and Seahawks this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
San Francisco 49ers4-03-12-230.516.07
Seattle Seahawks3-11-1-22-226.318.37

49ers' last 3 games: W 24-14 vs DEN · W 36-30 vs ARI · W 35-13 vs MIA.

Seahawks' last 3 games: W 30-23 vs LAC · L 31-33 @ WAS · W 31-7 @ ARI.

Pre-game injury report

San Francisco 49ers

Inactive: Kurtis Rourke (QB), Kyle Juszczyk (FB), Enrique Cruz Jr. (T), James Thompson Jr. (DT), Marques Sigle (S), Nick Bosa (DE).

Seattle Seahawks

Inactive: Jalen Milroe (QB), Robert Henry Jr. (RB), Montorie Foster Jr. (WR), Nick Kallerup (TE).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 3:22 PM ET.

Player projections

San Francisco 49ers · 21.9 market-implied pts
Brock Purdy (QB) — 232 pass yds · 18 rush yds
Christian McCaffrey (RB) — 53 rush yds · 40 rec yds
George Kittle (TE) — 58 rec yds · 4.5 rec
Seattle Seahawks · 24.9 market-implied pts
Sam Darnold (QB) — 231 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) — 1 rush yds · 98 rec yds
Emanuel Wilson (RB) — 61 rush yds · 11 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides 49ers @ Seahawks, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the 49ers @ Seahawks matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

49ers 2026 schedule

Seahawks 2026 schedule