Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Lumen Field
The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 3-point favourite over New England Patriots, with the game total at 44.3.
Moneylines sit at +150 for New England Patriots and -173 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 61% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.6 for New England Patriots and 23.6 for Seattle Seahawks.
The spread has moved from -3.5 to -3 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 226 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Sam Darnold (QB) at 223 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Jadarian Price (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Lumen Field.
Final: Seattle Seahawks won 13-10 (push, under).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: push. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SEA -3 (open -3.5) |
| Total | 44.25 (open 44.5) |
| Moneyline (NE / SEA) | +150 / -173 |
| SEA implied win probability | 61% |
| Implied team totals (NE — SEA) | 20.6 — 23.6 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.