New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 1 2026

Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lumen Field

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Patriots10market had 20.8
Final
Seahawks13market had 23.8
SpreadSEA -3
Total44.5
Moneyline+149 / -175
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 3-point favorite over New England Patriots, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at +149 for New England Patriots and -175 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 61% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.8 for New England Patriots and 23.8 for Seattle Seahawks.

The spread has moved from SEA -3.5 to SEA -3 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 226 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Sam Darnold (QB) at 223 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Jadarian Price (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET, at Lumen Field.

Final: Seattle Seahawks won 13-10; the spread pushed (SEA -3) and the game went under the 44.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

NE 10 — SEA 13

The spread pushed (SEA -3) and the game went under the 44.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Patriots at Seahawks — lines as of Wed, 9/9 · 8:10 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadSEA -3 (open SEA -3.5)
Total44.5
Moneyline (NE / SEA)+149 / -175
SEA implied win probability61%
Implied team totals (NE — SEA)20.8 — 23.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Pre-game injury report

New England Patriots

Out: TreVeyon Henderson (RB, ankle), Ben Brown (C, knee).

Seattle Seahawks

Out: Ty Okada (S, hamstring).

Questionable: Tory Horton (WR, hamstring), Nick Emmanwori (S, ankle).

Official injury report as of Sep 12.

Player projections

New England Patriots · 20.8 market-implied pts
Drake Maye (QB) — 226 pass yds · 28 rush yds
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) — 45 rush yds · 17 rec yds
A.J. Brown (WR) — 54 rec yds · 4.3 rec
Seattle Seahawks · 23.8 market-implied pts
Sam Darnold (QB) — 223 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Jadarian Price (RB) — 69 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) — 2 rush yds · 67 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Patriots @ Seahawks, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Patriots @ Seahawks matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 1 games

Week 2 → · Full 2026 schedule

Patriots 2026 schedule

Seahawks 2026 schedule