Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Northwest Stadium
The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 7.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 40.3.
Moneylines sit at -377 for Seattle Seahawks and +300 for Washington Commanders, a devigged 24% win probability for Washington Commanders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.9 for Seattle Seahawks and 16.4 for Washington Commanders.
The spread has moved from 6.5 to 7.5 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Seattle Seahawks — Sam Darnold (QB) at 218 passing yards and 7 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 82 receiving yards; Washington Commanders — Marcus Mariota (QB) at 211 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Northwest Stadium.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SEA -7.5 (open +6.5) |
| Total | 40.25 (open 40.5) |
| Moneyline (SEA / WAS) | -377 / +300 |
| WAS implied win probability | 24% |
| Implied team totals (SEA — WAS) | 23.9 — 16.4 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.