Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 3 2026

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Chiefs24market had 27.3
Final
Dolphins10market had 17.8
SpreadKC -9.5
Total45
Moneyline-607 / +445
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 9.5-point favorite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 45.

Moneylines sit at -607 for Kansas City Chiefs and +445 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 18% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27.3 for Kansas City Chiefs and 17.8 for Miami Dolphins.

The spread has moved from KC -8.5 to KC -9.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 44.5 to 45.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 241 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 83 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 213 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 42 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Hard Rock Stadium.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs won 24-10; Kansas City Chiefs covered the spread (KC -9.5) and the game went under the 45 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

KC 24 — MIA 10

Kansas City Chiefs covered the spread (KC -9.5) and the game went under the 45 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Chiefs at Dolphins — lines as of Sun, 9/27 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadKC -9.5 (open KC -8.5)
Total45 (open 44.5)
Moneyline (KC / MIA)-607 / +445
MIA implied win probability18%
Implied team totals (KC — MIA)27.3 — 17.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chiefs and Dolphins this season

Games before Week 3. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Kansas City Chiefs2-01-11-132.020.07
Miami Dolphins0-20-21-113.031.07

Chiefs' last 2 games: W 33-30 vs IND · W 31-10 vs DEN.

Dolphins' last 2 games: L 13-35 @ SF · L 13-27 @ LV.

Pre-game injury report

Kansas City Chiefs

Inactive: Conner, Nussmeier, Pounds, Pyburn, Simmons, Tyreke Smith (DE), Wiley.

Miami Dolphins

Inactive: Jaylen Wright (RB), Caleb Douglas (WR), Chukwuebuka Godrick (T), Marcellas Dial Jr. (CB), Robert Beal Jr. (DE).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/27 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Kansas City Chiefs · 27.3 market-implied pts
Patrick Mahomes (QB) — 241 pass yds · 21 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III (RB) — 83 rush yds · 30 rec yds
Rashee Rice (WR) — 1 rush yds · 53 rec yds
Miami Dolphins · 17.8 market-implied pts
Malik Willis (QB) — 213 pass yds · 28 rush yds
De'Von Achane (RB) — 78 rush yds · 42 rec yds
Malik Washington (WR) — 3 rush yds · 51 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chiefs @ Dolphins, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chiefs @ Dolphins matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule

Chiefs 2026 schedule

Dolphins 2026 schedule