Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 5.5-point favourite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at -250 for Kansas City Chiefs and +200 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 32% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.5 for Kansas City Chiefs and 20 for Las Vegas Raiders.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 243 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 190 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 65 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | KC -5.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (KC / LV) | -250 / +200 |
| LV implied win probability | 32% |
| Implied team totals (KC — LV) | 25.5 — 20.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.