Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Chiefs30market had 26.0
Final
Raiders27market had 21.0
SpreadKC -5
Total47
Moneyline-231 / +191
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 47.

Moneylines sit at -231 for Kansas City Chiefs and +191 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 33% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26 for Kansas City Chiefs and 21 for Las Vegas Raiders.

The spread has moved from KC -4.5 to KC -5 since it opened and the total has moved from 47.5 to 47.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 239 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 77 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 200 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 24 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs won 30-27; Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread (KC -5) and the game went over the 47 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

KC 30 — LV 27

Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread (KC -5) and the game went over the 47 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Chiefs at Raiders — lines as of Sun, 10/4 · 4:25 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadKC -5 (open KC -4.5)
Total47 (open 47.5)
Moneyline (KC / LV)-231 / +191
LV implied win probability33%
Implied team totals (KC — LV)26.0 — 21.0

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chiefs and Raiders this season

Games before Week 4. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Kansas City Chiefs3-02-11-229.316.77
Las Vegas Raiders3-03-01-229.318.07

Chiefs' last 3 games: W 24-10 @ MIA · W 33-30 vs IND · W 31-10 vs DEN.

Raiders' last 3 games: W 35-27 @ NO · W 26-14 @ LAC · W 27-13 vs MIA.

Pre-game injury report

Kansas City Chiefs

Inactive: Jack Pyburn (LB).

Las Vegas Raiders

Out: Jackson Powers-Johnson (G, groin).

Questionable: Aidan O'Connell (QB, not injury related - personal matter).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/4 · 3:37 PM ET.

Player projections

Kansas City Chiefs · 26.0 market-implied pts
Patrick Mahomes (QB) — 239 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III (RB) — 77 rush yds · 25 rec yds
Rashee Rice (WR) — 60 rec yds · 4.7 rec
Las Vegas Raiders · 21.0 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 200 pass yds · 2 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 64 rush yds · 24 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 63 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chiefs @ Raiders, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chiefs @ Raiders matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule

Chiefs 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule