Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Packers17market had 20.9
Final
Buccaneers14market had 18.1
SpreadGB -2.75
Total39
Moneyline-150 / +129
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 2.75-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 39.

Moneylines sit at -150 for Green Bay Packers and +129 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 42% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.9 for Green Bay Packers and 18.1 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The spread has moved from GB -3.5 to GB -2.75 since it opened and the total has moved from 39.5 to 39.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 243 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 68 receiving yards and 4.9 catches; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jalon Daniels (QB) at 171 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Raymond James Stadium, Green Bay Packers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

Final: Green Bay Packers won 17-14; Green Bay Packers covered the spread (GB -2.75) and the game went under the 39 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

GB 17 — TB 14

Green Bay Packers covered the spread (GB -2.75) and the game went under the 39 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Packers at Buccaneers — lines as of Sun, 10/4 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -2.75 (open GB -3.5)
Total39 (open 39.5)
Moneyline (GB / TB)-150 / +129
TB implied win probability42%
Implied team totals (GB — TB)20.9 — 18.1

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Packers and Buccaneers this season

Games before Week 4. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Green Bay Packers1-20-2-12-118.730.310
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-30-32-120.726.37

Packers' last 3 games: L 14-35 vs ATL · W 20-17 @ NYJ · L 22-39 @ MIN.

Buccaneers' last 3 games: L 16-23 vs MIN · L 19-23 vs CLE · L 27-33 @ CIN.

Pre-game injury report

Green Bay Packers

Inactive: Aaron Banks (G), Anthony Campbell (DT), Jacob Monk (C), Kevin Zeitler (G).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Inactive: Baker Mayfield (QB), Ko Kieft (TE), Benjamin Morrison (CB), Luke Haggard (G), Rueben Bain Jr. (LB).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/4 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Green Bay Packers · 20.9 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 243 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 68 rec yds · 4.9 rec
Matthew Golden (WR) — 1 rush yds · 54 rec yds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 18.1 market-implied pts
Jalon Daniels (QB) — 171 pass yds · 24 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 56 rush yds · 18 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 1 rush yds · 42 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Packers @ Buccaneers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Packers @ Buccaneers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule