Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Caesars Superdome (indoors)
The market makes Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 1.5-point favourite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at -125 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and +105 for New Orleans Saints, a devigged 47% win probability for New Orleans Saints; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 21 for New Orleans Saints.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 221 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards; New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 262 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 82 receiving yards and 6.6 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Caesars Superdome, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | TB -1.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (TB / NO) | -125 / +105 |
| NO implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (TB — NO) | 22.5 — 21.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.