Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · U.S. Bank Stadium (indoors)

Game preview

The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 1.5-point favourite over Chicago Bears, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +105 for Chicago Bears and -125 for Minnesota Vikings, a devigged 53% win probability for Minnesota Vikings; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21 for Chicago Bears and 22.5 for Minnesota Vikings.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 222 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 189 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 76 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at U.S. Bank Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Bears at Vikings — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadMIN -1.5
Total43.5
Moneyline (CHI / MIN)+105 / -125
MIN implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (CHI — MIN)21.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Chicago Bears · 21.0 proj pts
Caleb Williams (QB) — 222 pass yds · 26 rush yds
D'Andre Swift (RB) — 61 rush yds · 18 rec yds
Kyle Monangai (RB) — 37 rush yds · 11 rec yds
Minnesota Vikings · 22.5 proj pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 189 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 76 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 61 rec yds · 4.5 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule