Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 6 2026

Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (indoors)

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Bears31market had 26.4
Final
Falcons23market had 25.1
SpreadCHI -1.25
Total51.5
Moneyline-117 / -102
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Chicago Bears a 1.25-point favorite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 51.5.

Moneylines sit at -117 for Chicago Bears and -102 for Atlanta Falcons, a devigged 48% win probability for Atlanta Falcons; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.4 for Chicago Bears and 25.1 for Atlanta Falcons.

The total has moved from 47.75 to 51.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 241 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 226 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 83 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, indoors.

Final: Chicago Bears won 31-23; Chicago Bears covered the spread (CHI -1.25) and the game went over the 51.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

CHI 31 — ATL 23

Chicago Bears covered the spread (CHI -1.25) and the game went over the 51.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Bears at Falcons — lines as of Sun, 10/18 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCHI -1.25 (open CHI -1.5)
Total51.5 (open 47.75)
Moneyline (CHI / ATL)-117 / -102
ATL implied win probability48%
Implied team totals (CHI — ATL)26.4 — 25.1

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Bears and Falcons this season

Games before Week 6. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Chicago Bears3-23-21-423.819.27
Atlanta Falcons2-32-33-223.824.47

Bears' last 3 games: L 7-31 @ GB · W 23-12 vs NYJ · W 27-7 vs PHI.

Falcons' last 3 games: L 23-30 vs BAL · W 45-24 @ NO · W 35-14 @ GB.

Pre-game injury report

Chicago Bears

Inactive: Case Keenum (QB), Kyle Monangai (RB), Jayden Loving (DT), Jordan McFadden (G), Keyshaun Elliott (LB), T.J. Edwards (LB), Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CB).

Atlanta Falcons

Inactive: Jack Strand (QB), C.J. Henderson (CB), Christian Harris (LB), Drake Jackson (DE), Ethan Onianwa (T).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/18 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Chicago Bears · 26.4 market-implied pts
Caleb Williams (QB) — 241 pass yds · 28 rush yds
D'Andre Swift (RB) — 60 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Rome Odunze (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.0 rec
Atlanta Falcons · 25.1 market-implied pts
Michael Penix Jr. (QB) — 226 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Bijan Robinson (RB) — 83 rush yds · 31 rec yds
Drake London (WR) — 1 rush yds · 76 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bears @ Falcons, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bears @ Falcons matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 6 games

← Week 5 · Week 7 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bears 2026 schedule

Falcons 2026 schedule