Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Chicago Bears a 3-point favourite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at -155 for Chicago Bears and +130 for Atlanta Falcons, a devigged 42% win probability for Atlanta Falcons; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.3 for Chicago Bears and 22.3 for Atlanta Falcons.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 234 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 220 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 84 rushing yards and 33 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, indoors.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -3 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (CHI / ATL) | -155 / +130 |
| ATL implied win probability | 42% |
| Implied team totals (CHI — ATL) | 25.3 — 22.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.