Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 6 2026

Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET · Wembley Stadium · neutral site

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Texans34market had 19.8
Final
Jaguars31market had 22.3
SpreadJAX -2.5
Total42
Moneyline+119 / -140
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 2.5-point favorite over Houston Texans, with the game total at 42.

Moneylines sit at +119 for Houston Texans and -140 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 56% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.8 for Houston Texans and 22.3 for Jacksonville Jaguars.

The spread has moved from JAX -3 to JAX -2.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 42.5 to 42.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 242 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 67 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 222 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 77 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET, at Wembley Stadium, a neutral site.

Final: Houston Texans won 34-31; Houston Texans covered the spread (JAX -2.5) and the game went over the 42 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

HOU 34 — JAX 31

Houston Texans covered the spread (JAX -2.5) and the game went over the 42 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Texans at Jaguars — lines as of Sun, 10/18 · 9:30 AM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -2.5 (open JAX -3)
Total42 (open 42.5)
Moneyline (HOU / JAX)+119 / -140
JAX implied win probability56%
Implied team totals (HOU — JAX)19.8 — 22.3

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Texans and Jaguars this season

Games before Week 6. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Houston Texans1-41-42-322.022.47
Jacksonville Jaguars4-13-21-424.614.07

Texans' last 3 games: W 26-3 @ TEN · L 30-34 vs DAL · L 17-19 @ IND.

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 19-17 vs PHI · W 22-17 @ CIN · W 35-6 vs NE.

Pre-game injury report

Houston Texans

Inactive: David Montgomery (RB), Marlin Klein (TE), Braden Smith (T), Febechi Nwaiwu (G), Jalen Pitre (S), Nate Thomas (T), Sabastian Harsh (DE).

Jacksonville Jaguars

Inactive: Albert Regis (DT), Jalen Huskey (S), Jaylon Jones (CB), Montaric Brown (CB), Ross Matiscik (LS), Wesley Williams (DE).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/18 · 8:29 AM ET.

Player projections

Houston Texans · 19.8 market-implied pts
C.J. Stroud (QB) — 242 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Nico Collins (WR) — 1 rush yds · 67 rec yds
Woody Marks (RB) — 46 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Jacksonville Jaguars · 22.3 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 222 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 77 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 56 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Texans @ Jaguars, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Texans @ Jaguars matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 6 games

← Week 5 · Week 7 → · Full 2026 schedule

Texans 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule