Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT · Wembley Stadium · neutral site
The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 1.5-point favourite over Houston Texans, with the game total at 42.5.
Moneylines sit at -108 for Houston Texans and -112 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 50% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Houston Texans and 22 for Jacksonville Jaguars.
The total has moved from 41 to 42.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 257 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 76 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 205 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT, at the neutral site Neutral.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -1.5 |
| Total | 42.5 (open 41) |
| Moneyline (HOU / JAX) | -108 / -112 |
| JAX implied win probability | 50% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — JAX) | 20.5 — 22.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.