Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT · Empower Field at Mile High
The market makes Denver Broncos a 2.5-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +124 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -146 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 57% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 24 for Denver Broncos.
The total has moved from 44.5 to 45.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 217 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 208 passing yards and 18 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 70 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT, at Empower Field at Mile High.
Final: Denver Broncos won 20-13 (home, under).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: home. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -2.5 |
| Total | 45.5 (open 44.5) |
| Moneyline (JAX / DEN) | +124 / -146 |
| DEN implied win probability | 57% |
| Implied team totals (JAX — DEN) | 21.5 — 24.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.