Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Empower Field at Mile High
The market makes Denver Broncos a 1.5-point favourite over Kansas City Chiefs, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Kansas City Chiefs and -125 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 53% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21 for Kansas City Chiefs and 22.5 for Denver Broncos.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 222 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 33 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 196 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 51 rushing yards and 7 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Empower Field at Mile High.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -1.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (KC / DEN) | +105 / -125 |
| DEN implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (KC — DEN) | 21.0 — 22.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.