Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 8 2026

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 6-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 39.5.

Moneylines sit at +210 for Cleveland Browns and -258 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 69% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.8 for Cleveland Browns and 22.8 for Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 188 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 174 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 52 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Browns at Steelers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadPIT -6
Total39.5
Moneyline (CLE / PIT)+210 / -258
PIT implied win probability69%
Implied team totals (CLE — PIT)16.8 — 22.8

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 16.8 proj pts
Deshaun Watson (QB) — 188 pass yds · 26 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 49 rush yds · 16 rec yds
KC Concepcion (WR) — 9 rush yds · 39 rec yds
Pittsburgh Steelers · 22.8 proj pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 174 pass yds · 6 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 52 rush yds · 25 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 62 rec yds · 4.6 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 8 games

← Week 7 · Week 9 → · Full 2026 schedule