Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 5.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +185 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -225 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 66% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 24.5 for Baltimore Ravens.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 176 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 43 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 215 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 93 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Ravens take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Steelers at Ravens — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -5.5
Total43.5
Moneyline (PIT / BAL)+185 / -225
BAL implied win probability66%
Implied team totals (PIT — BAL)19.0 — 24.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 19.0 proj pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 176 pass yds · 6 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 43 rush yds · 25 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 61 rec yds · 4.7 rec
Baltimore Ravens · 24.5 proj pts
Lamar Jackson (QB) — 215 pass yds · 32 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 93 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 1 rush yds · 68 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule