Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium

Prediction: Ravens 25, Steelers 19 (market-implied). The market gives the Baltimore Ravens a 66% chance to win. · Updated

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Steelers19.0win 34%
Market-implied score
Ravens24.5win 66%
SpreadBAL -5.5
Total43.5
Moneyline+185 / -225
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Steelers vs Ravens prediction

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 5.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +185 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -225 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 66% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 24.5 for Baltimore Ravens.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 166 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 201 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Ravens take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Steelers at Ravens — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -5.5
Total43.5
Moneyline (PIT / BAL)+185 / -225
BAL implied win probability66%
Implied team totals (PIT — BAL)19.0 — 24.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Steelers and Ravens this season

Games before Week 18. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Pittsburgh Steelers6-26-24-422.518.07
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.210

Steelers' last 3 games: W 27-6 vs CLE · W 16-10 @ NO · W 26-19 @ TB.

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 19.0 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 166 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 60 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Rico Dowdle (RB) — 33 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Baltimore Ravens · 24.5 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 201 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 81 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 3 rush yds · 68 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Steelers @ Ravens, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule