Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 10-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +320 for Cleveland Browns and -410 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 77% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.8 for Cleveland Browns and 26.8 for Baltimore Ravens.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 192 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 43 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 217 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 96 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at M&T Bank Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Browns at Ravens — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -10
Total43.5
Moneyline (CLE / BAL)+320 / -410
BAL implied win probability77%
Implied team totals (CLE — BAL)16.8 — 26.8

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 16.9 proj pts
Deshaun Watson (QB) — 192 pass yds · 25 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 43 rush yds · 17 rec yds
KC Concepcion (WR) — 8 rush yds · 38 rec yds
Baltimore Ravens · 26.6 proj pts
Lamar Jackson (QB) — 217 pass yds · 32 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 96 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 1 rush yds · 68 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule