Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium

Prediction: Ravens 27, Browns 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Baltimore Ravens a 77% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Browns @ Ravens, on one screen.

Browns16.8win 23%
Market-implied score
Ravens26.8win 77%
SpreadBAL -10
Total43.5
Moneyline+320 / -410
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Browns vs Ravens prediction

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 10-point favorite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +320 for Cleveland Browns and -410 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 77% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.8 for Cleveland Browns and 26.8 for Baltimore Ravens.

The total has moved from 42.5 to 43.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Shedeur Sanders (QB) at 212 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 53 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 192 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 89 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at M&T Bank Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Browns at Ravens — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -10 (open BAL -10.25)
Total43.5 (open 42.5)
Moneyline (CLE / BAL)+320 / -410
BAL implied win probability77%
Implied team totals (CLE — BAL)16.8 — 26.8

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Browns and Ravens this season

Games before Week 16. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Cleveland Browns5-46-35-417.921.87
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.27

Browns' last 3 games: L 22-23 @ NO · L 6-27 @ PIT · W 27-24 @ TEN.

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 16.8 market-implied pts
Shedeur Sanders (QB) — 212 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 53 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Denzel Boston (WR) — 50 rec yds · 4.1 rec
Baltimore Ravens · 26.8 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 192 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 89 rush yds · 9 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 3 rush yds · 65 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Browns @ Ravens, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Browns @ Ravens matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule

Browns 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule