Las Vegas Raiders @ Cleveland Browns — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Huntington Bank Field

Prediction: Browns 21, Raiders 19 (market-implied). The market gives the Cleveland Browns a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Raiders19.0win 47%
Market-implied score
Browns20.5win 53%
SpreadCLE -1.5
Total39.5
Moneyline+102 / -122
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side

Raiders vs Browns prediction

The market makes Cleveland Browns a 1.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 39.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Las Vegas Raiders and -122 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 53% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Las Vegas Raiders and 20.5 for Cleveland Browns.

The spread has moved from CLE -2 to CLE -1.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 38.5 to 39.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 204 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Shedeur Sanders (QB) at 224 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland Browns take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Raiders at Browns — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCLE -1.5 (open CLE -2)
Total39.5 (open 38.5)
Moneyline (LV / CLE)+102 / -122
CLE implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (LV — CLE)19.0 — 20.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Raiders and Browns this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Las Vegas Raiders4-56-37-226.429.87
Cleveland Browns5-46-35-417.921.814

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-38 @ SF · W 38-33 @ NYJ · L 21-35 vs LA.

Browns' last 3 games: L 22-23 @ NO · L 6-27 @ PIT · W 27-24 @ TEN.

Player projections

Las Vegas Raiders · 19.0 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 204 pass yds · 2 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 46 rush yds · 25 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 52 rec yds
Cleveland Browns · 20.5 market-implied pts
Shedeur Sanders (QB) — 224 pass yds · 21 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 62 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Denzel Boston (WR) — 54 rec yds · 4.0 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Raiders @ Browns, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Raiders @ Browns matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule

Browns 2026 schedule