Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · NRG Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Texans 24, Ravens 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Houston Texans a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Ravens @ Texans, on one screen.

Ravens22.0win 47%
Market-implied score
Texans23.5win 53%
SpreadHOU -1.5
Total45.5
Moneyline+102 / -122
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Ravens vs Texans prediction

The market makes Houston Texans a 1.5-point favorite over Baltimore Ravens, with the game total at 45.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Baltimore Ravens and -122 for Houston Texans, a devigged 53% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Baltimore Ravens and 23.5 for Houston Texans.

The total has moved from 45 to 45.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 204 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 225 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Woody Marks (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at NRG Stadium, indoors, Houston Texans take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Ravens at Texans — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadHOU -1.5 (open HOU -1.25)
Total45.5 (open 45)
Moneyline (BAL / HOU)+102 / -122
HOU implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (BAL — HOU)22.0 — 23.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Ravens and Texans this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.27
Houston Texans3-53-55-326.124.010

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Texans' last 3 games: W 44-22 @ LAC · L 21-27 vs NYG · W 34-31 @ JAX.

Player projections

Baltimore Ravens · 22.0 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 204 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 81 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 3 rush yds · 70 rec yds
Houston Texans · 23.5 market-implied pts
C.J. Stroud (QB) — 225 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Woody Marks (RB) — 46 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Nico Collins (WR) — 1 rush yds · 50 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Ravens @ Texans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Ravens @ Texans matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule

Texans 2026 schedule