Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Reliant Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Houston Texans a 1.5-point favourite over Baltimore Ravens, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +102 for Baltimore Ravens and -122 for Houston Texans, a devigged 53% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Baltimore Ravens and 23.5 for Houston Texans.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 228 passing yards and 30 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 86 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 255 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 75 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Reliant Stadium, indoors, Houston Texans take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (BAL / HOU) | +102 / -122 |
| HOU implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (BAL — HOU) | 22.0 — 23.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.