Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Texans26market had 22.0
Final
Titans3market had 15.5
SpreadHOU -6.5
Total37.5
Moneyline-325 / +260
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side

Game preview

The market makes Houston Texans a 6.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 37.5.

Moneylines sit at -325 for Houston Texans and +260 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 27% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Houston Texans and 15.5 for Tennessee Titans.

The total has moved from 39 to 37.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 233 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 78 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 195 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium.

Final: Houston Texans won 26-3; Houston Texans covered the spread (HOU -6.5) and the game went under the 37.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

HOU 26 — TEN 3

Houston Texans covered the spread (HOU -6.5) and the game went under the 37.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Texans at Titans — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 1:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadHOU -6.5
Total37.5 (open 39)
Moneyline (HOU / TEN)-325 / +260
TEN implied win probability27%
Implied team totals (HOU — TEN)22.0 — 15.5

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Texans and Titans this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Houston Texans0-40-42-221.027.37
Tennessee Titans0-42-21-313.820.87

Texans' last 3 games: L 30-34 vs DAL · L 17-19 @ IND · L 6-20 vs CIN.

Titans' last 3 games: L 18-24 @ BAL · L 7-12 @ NYG · L 20-24 vs PHI.

Pre-game injury report

Houston Texans

Inactive: Marlin Klein (TE), Aiden Fisher (LB), Collin Wright (CB), Febechi Nwaiwu (G), Nate Thomas (T), Sabastian Harsh (DE).

Tennessee Titans

Inactive: Nicholas Singleton (RB), Amani Hooker (S), Jackie Marshall (DT), Jaylon Jones (CB).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Houston Texans · 22.0 market-implied pts
C.J. Stroud (QB) — 233 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Nico Collins (WR) — 1 rush yds · 78 rec yds
David Montgomery (RB) — 54 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Tennessee Titans · 15.5 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 195 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 54 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.4 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Texans @ Titans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Texans @ Titans matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Texans 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule