Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026
Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium
The full matchup dashboard
How this game played out, every angle on one screen.
- The market-implied score next to the spread and total
- Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
- What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
- Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Game preview
The market makes Houston Texans a 6.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 37.5.
Moneylines sit at -325 for Houston Texans and +260 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 27% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Houston Texans and 15.5 for Tennessee Titans.
The total has moved from 39 to 37.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 233 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 78 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 195 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium.
Final: Houston Texans won 26-3; Houston Texans covered the spread (HOU -6.5) and the game went under the 37.5 total.
From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
Final
Houston Texans covered the spread (HOU -6.5) and the game went under the 37.5 total.
Consensus market (closing lines)
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -6.5 |
| Total | 37.5 (open 39) |
| Moneyline (HOU / TEN) | -325 / +260 |
| TEN implied win probability | 27% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — TEN) | 22.0 — 15.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Texans and Titans this season
| Team | Record | Against the spread | Over/under | Points for | Points against | Days of rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 21.0 | 27.3 | 7 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 13.8 | 20.8 | 7 |
Texans' last 3 games: L 30-34 vs DAL · L 17-19 @ IND · L 6-20 vs CIN.
Titans' last 3 games: L 18-24 @ BAL · L 7-12 @ NYG · L 20-24 vs PHI.
Pre-game injury report
Houston Texans
Inactive: Marlin Klein (TE), Aiden Fisher (LB), Collin Wright (CB), Febechi Nwaiwu (G), Nate Thomas (T), Sabastian Harsh (DE).
Tennessee Titans
Inactive: Nicholas Singleton (RB), Amani Hooker (S), Jackie Marshall (DT), Jaylon Jones (CB).
Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.
Player projections
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.
More Week 5 games
- Buccaneers @ Cowboys · Thu, 10/8 · 8:15 PM ET
- Eagles @ Jaguars · Sun, 10/11 · 9:30 AM ET
- Bengals @ Dolphins · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Raiders @ Patriots · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Vikings @ Saints · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Giants @ Commanders · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Browns @ Jets · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Bears @ Packers · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Colts @ Steelers · Sun, 10/11 · 1:00 PM ET
- Broncos @ Chargers · Sun, 10/11 · 4:05 PM ET
- Lions @ Cardinals · Sun, 10/11 · 4:25 PM ET
- 49ers @ Seahawks · Sun, 10/11 · 4:25 PM ET
- Ravens @ Falcons · Sun, 10/11 · 8:20 PM ET
- Bills @ Rams · Mon, 10/12 · 8:15 PM ET
Texans 2026 schedule
- W1Bills @ Texans · L 31-36
- W2Bengals @ Texans · L 6-20
- W3Texans @ Colts · L 17-19
- W4Cowboys @ Texans · L 30-34
- W6Texans @ Jaguars · W 34-31
- W7Giants @ Texans · L 21-27
- W9Texans @ Chargers · W 44-22
- W10Texans @ Browns · Sun 11/15
- W11Colts @ Texans · Thu 11/19
- W12Ravens @ Texans · Sun 11/29
- W13Texans @ Steelers · Sun 12/6
- W14Texans @ Commanders · Sun 12/13
- W15Jaguars @ Texans · Sun 12/20
- W16Texans @ Eagles · Thu 12/24
- W17Texans @ Packers · Mon 1/4
- W18Titans @ Texans · Sun 1/10
Titans 2026 schedule
- W1Jets @ Titans · L 10-23
- W2Eagles @ Titans · L 20-24
- W3Titans @ Giants · L 7-12
- W4Titans @ Ravens · L 18-24
- W6Titans @ Colts · W 26-20
- W7Browns @ Titans · L 24-27
- W8Titans @ Bengals · L 36-43
- W10Jaguars @ Titans · Sun 11/15
- W11Titans @ Cowboys · Sun 11/22
- W12Titans @ Jaguars · Sun 11/29
- W13Commanders @ Titans · Sun 12/6
- W14Titans @ Lions · Sun 12/13
- W15Colts @ Titans · Sun 12/20
- W16Titans @ Raiders · Sun 12/27
- W17Steelers @ Titans · Sun 1/3
- W18Titans @ Texans · Sun 1/10