Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Detroit Lions a 8.5-point favourite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at -395 for Detroit Lions and +310 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 23% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 28.5 for Detroit Lions and 20 for Arizona Cardinals.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 271 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 100 rushing yards and 35 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Jacoby Brissett (QB) at 245 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Jeremiyah Love (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at State Farm Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -8.5 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (DET / ARI) | -395 / +310 |
| ARI implied win probability | 23% |
| Implied team totals (DET — ARI) | 28.5 — 20.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.