Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Bengals31market had 25.8
Final
Dolphins24market had 18.8
SpreadCIN -7
Total44.5
Moneyline-371 / +291
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 7-point favorite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at -371 for Cincinnati Bengals and +291 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 24% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.8 for Cincinnati Bengals and 18.8 for Miami Dolphins.

The spread has moved from CIN -8.5 to CIN -7 since it opened and the total has moved from 46.5 to 44.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 257 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 221 passing yards and 30 rushing yards, Malik Washington (WR) at 6 rushing yards and 56 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Hard Rock Stadium.

Final: Cincinnati Bengals won 31-24; the spread pushed (CIN -7) and the game went over the 44.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

CIN 31 — MIA 24

The spread pushed (CIN -7) and the game went over the 44.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Bengals at Dolphins — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 1:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -7 (open CIN -8.5)
Total44.5 (open 46.5)
Moneyline (CIN / MIA)-371 / +291
MIA implied win probability24%
Implied team totals (CIN — MIA)25.8 — 18.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Bengals and Dolphins this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Cincinnati Bengals2-22-22-224.321.37
Miami Dolphins0-41-31-311.525.37

Bengals' last 3 games: L 17-22 vs JAX · L 27-30 @ PIT · W 20-6 @ HOU.

Dolphins' last 3 games: L 10-15 @ MIN · L 10-24 vs KC · L 13-35 @ SF.

Pre-game injury report

Cincinnati Bengals

Inactive: Colbie Young (WR), Jack Endries (TE), Connor Lew (C), Kyle Dugger (S), Landon Robinson (DT).

Miami Dolphins

Inactive: Kaytron Allen (RB), Caleb Douglas (WR), Justin Joly (TE), Chukwuebuka Godrick (T), Robert Beal Jr. (DE).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Cincinnati Bengals · 25.8 market-implied pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 257 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Chase Brown (RB) — 64 rush yds · 26 rec yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 68 rec yds · 5.7 rec
Miami Dolphins · 18.8 market-implied pts
Malik Willis (QB) — 221 pass yds · 30 rush yds
Malik Washington (WR) — 6 rush yds · 56 rec yds
Ollie Gordon II (RB) — 44 rush yds · 12 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bengals @ Dolphins, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bengals @ Dolphins matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bengals 2026 schedule

Dolphins 2026 schedule