Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Hard Rock Stadium
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 6-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at -270 for Cincinnati Bengals and +220 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 30% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27.8 for Cincinnati Bengals and 21.8 for Miami Dolphins.
The spread has moved from 5.5 to 6 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 245 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 243 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 72 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Hard Rock Stadium.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -6 (open +5.5) |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (CIN / MIA) | -270 / +220 |
| MIA implied win probability | 30% |
| Implied team totals (CIN — MIA) | 27.8 — 21.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.