Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Lucas Oil Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 6.5-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +245 for Miami Dolphins and -305 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 72% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Miami Dolphins and 27 for Indianapolis Colts.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 234 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 233 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 87 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Lucas Oil Stadium, indoors.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | IND -6.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (MIA / IND) | +245 / -305 |
| IND implied win probability | 72% |
| Implied team totals (MIA — IND) | 20.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.