Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 9 2026

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Cowboys27market had 27.6
Final
Colts23market had 23.9
SpreadDAL -3.75
Total51.5
Moneyline-207 / +175
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 3.75-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 51.5.

Moneylines sit at -207 for Dallas Cowboys and +175 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 35% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27.6 for Dallas Cowboys and 23.9 for Indianapolis Colts.

The spread has moved from DAL -4.5 to DAL -3.75 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 262 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, CeeDee Lamb (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 104 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 238 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Final: Dallas Cowboys won 27-23; Dallas Cowboys covered the spread (DAL -3.75) and the game went under the 51.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 9 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

DAL 27 — IND 23

Dallas Cowboys covered the spread (DAL -3.75) and the game went under the 51.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Cowboys at Colts — lines as of Sun, 11/8 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -3.75 (open DAL -4.5)
Total51.5
Moneyline (DAL / IND)-207 / +175
IND implied win probability35%
Implied team totals (DAL — IND)27.6 — 23.9

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Cowboys and Colts this season

Games before Week 9. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Dallas Cowboys3-54-46-227.426.67
Indianapolis Colts2-64-45-320.127.87

Cowboys' last 3 games: L 30-33 vs ARI · W 38-21 @ PHI · L 13-23 @ GB.

Colts' last 3 games: L 7-42 @ JAX · L 10-16 @ MIN · L 20-26 vs TEN.

Pre-game injury report

Dallas Cowboys

Inactive: George Pickens (WR), KaVontae Turpin (WR), Luke Schoonmaker (TE), Ajani Cornelius (T), DeMarvion Overshown (LB), Joey Porter Jr. (CB), Tyrus Wheat (LB).

Indianapolis Colts

Inactive: Riley Leonard (QB), Will Mallory (TE), A.J. Haulcy (S), Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB), Charlie Heck (T).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 11/8 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Dallas Cowboys · 27.6 market-implied pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 262 pass yds · 12 rush yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 1 rush yds · 104 rec yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 71 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Indianapolis Colts · 23.9 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 238 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 67 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Tyler Warren (TE) — 1 rush yds · 53 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Cowboys @ Colts, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Cowboys @ Colts matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 9 games

← Week 8 · Week 10 → · Full 2026 schedule

Cowboys 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule