Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Lucas Oil Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 1.5-point favourite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 52.5.
Moneylines sit at -125 for Dallas Cowboys and +105 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 47% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27 for Dallas Cowboys and 25.5 for Indianapolis Colts.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 259 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 241 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 83 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Lucas Oil Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DAL -1.5 |
| Total | 52.5 |
| Moneyline (DAL / IND) | -125 / +105 |
| IND implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (DAL — IND) | 27.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.