Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)

Game preview

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 6.5-point favourite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +235 for Tennessee Titans and -290 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 71% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21 for Tennessee Titans and 27.5 for Dallas Cowboys.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 203 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 52 rushing yards and 11 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 243 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 57 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Titans at Cowboys — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -6.5
Total48.5
Moneyline (TEN / DAL)+235 / -290
DAL implied win probability71%
Implied team totals (TEN — DAL)21.0 — 27.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Tennessee Titans · 21.0 proj pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 203 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 52 rush yds · 11 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 45 rec yds · 3.6 rec
Dallas Cowboys · 27.5 proj pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 243 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 57 rush yds · 20 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 3 rush yds · 70 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule