Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium

Prediction: Jaguars 29, Titans 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Jacksonville Jaguars an 82% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Jaguars @ Titans, on one screen.

Jaguars28.5win 82%
Market-implied score
Titans18.0win 18%
SpreadJAX -10.5
Total46.5
Moneyline-582 / +425
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Jaguars vs Titans prediction

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 10.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -582 for Jacksonville Jaguars and +425 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 18% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 28.5 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 18 for Tennessee Titans.

The spread has moved from JAX -9.5 to JAX -10.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 45.5 to 46.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 240 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 203 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 65 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium, Tennessee Titans take the extra rest, 14 days to 10.

From the blog: NFL Week 10 Preview: Who's Hot, Who's Fading and Where I'm Leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Jaguars at Titans — lines as of Tue, 11/10 · 9:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -10.5 (open JAX -9.5)
Total46.5 (open 45.5)
Moneyline (JAX / TEN)-582 / +425
TEN implied win probability18%
Implied team totals (JAX — TEN)28.5 — 18.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jaguars and Titans this season

Games before Week 10. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Jacksonville Jaguars6-25-34-428.615.110
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.914

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 33-10 @ BAL · W 42-7 vs IND · L 31-34 vs HOU.

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 28.5 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 240 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 62 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 58 rec yds
Tennessee Titans · 18.0 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 203 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 65 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 52 rec yds · 4.6 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jaguars @ Titans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jaguars @ Titans matchup →

Kickoff forecast: 51°F, wind 7 mph from the NE, 0% chance of precipitation. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule