Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · EverBank Stadium
The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 4.5-point favourite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +180 for Indianapolis Colts and -218 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 66% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Indianapolis Colts and 27 for Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 228 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 227 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville Jaguars take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -4.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (IND / JAX) | +180 / -218 |
| JAX implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (IND — JAX) | 22.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.