Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 3 2026

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Texans17market had 22.0
Final
Colts19market had 20.5
SpreadHOU -1.5
Total42.5
Moneyline-122 / +103
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Houston Texans a 1.5-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 42.5.

Moneylines sit at -122 for Houston Texans and +103 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 47% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Houston Texans and 20.5 for Indianapolis Colts.

The spread has moved from HOU -2.5 to HOU -1.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 45 to 42.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 275 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, David Montgomery (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 224 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 82 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Final: Indianapolis Colts won 19-17; Indianapolis Colts covered the spread (HOU -1.5) and the game went under the 42.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

HOU 17 — IND 19

Indianapolis Colts covered the spread (HOU -1.5) and the game went under the 42.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Texans at Colts — lines as of Sun, 9/27 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadHOU -1.5 (open HOU -2.5)
Total42.5 (open 45)
Moneyline (HOU / IND)-122 / +103
IND implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (HOU — IND)22.0 — 20.5

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Texans and Colts this season

Games before Week 3. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Houston Texans0-20-21-118.528.07
Indianapolis Colts0-21-12-026.537.07

Texans' last 2 games: L 6-20 vs CIN · L 31-36 vs BUF.

Colts' last 2 games: L 30-33 @ KC · L 23-41 vs BAL.

Pre-game injury report

Houston Texans

Inactive: Nico Collins (WR), Brevin Jordan (TE), Collin Wright (CB), Ed Ingram (G), Jadeveon Clowney (DE), Nate Thomas (T).

Indianapolis Colts

Inactive: Riley Leonard (QB), DJ Giddens (RB), Ashton Dulin (WR), Dalton Tucker (G).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/27 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Houston Texans · 22.0 market-implied pts
C.J. Stroud (QB) — 275 pass yds · 17 rush yds
David Montgomery (RB) — 55 rush yds · 20 rec yds
Dalton Schultz (TE) — 65 rec yds · 6.0 rec
Indianapolis Colts · 20.5 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 224 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 82 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Josh Downs (WR) — 70 rec yds · 5.4 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Texans @ Colts, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Texans @ Colts matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule

Texans 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule