Thursday, December 24, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · Lincoln Financial Field
The market makes Philadelphia Eagles a 2.5-point favourite over Houston Texans, with the game total at 38.
Moneylines sit at +112 for Houston Texans and -132 for Philadelphia Eagles, a devigged 55% win probability for Philadelphia Eagles; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17.8 for Houston Texans and 20.3 for Philadelphia Eagles.
The total has moved from 37.5 to 38.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 244 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 75 receiving yards; Philadelphia Eagles — Jalen Hurts (QB) at 218 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, December 24, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at Lincoln Financial Field.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | PHI -2.5 |
| Total | 38 (open 37.5) |
| Moneyline (HOU / PHI) | +112 / -132 |
| PHI implied win probability | 55% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — PHI) | 17.8 — 20.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.