Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · U.S. Bank Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 2.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at +114 for Washington Commanders and -135 for Minnesota Vikings, a devigged 55% win probability for Minnesota Vikings; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Washington Commanders and 24.5 for Minnesota Vikings.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 220 passing yards and 37 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 7 receiving yards; Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 198 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 76 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at U.S. Bank Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | MIN -2.5 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Moneyline (WAS / MIN) | +114 / -135 |
| MIN implied win probability | 55% |
| Implied team totals (WAS — MIN) | 22.0 — 24.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.