Washington Commanders @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · MetLife Stadium

Game preview

The market makes New York Giants a 1.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Washington Commanders and -122 for New York Giants, a devigged 53% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Washington Commanders and 24.5 for New York Giants.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 222 passing yards and 37 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 8 receiving yards; New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 220 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Commanders at Giants — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadNYG -1.5
Total47.5
Moneyline (WAS / NYG)+102 / -122
NYG implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (WAS — NYG)23.0 — 24.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Washington Commanders · 22.8 proj pts
Jayden Daniels (QB) — 222 pass yds · 37 rush yds
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) — 58 rush yds · 8 rec yds
Terry McLaurin (WR) — 54 rec yds · 3.9 rec
New York Giants · 24.3 proj pts
Jameis Winston (QB) — 220 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 60 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 58 rec yds · 4.3 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule