Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium

Game preview

The market makes New York Giants a 2.5-point favourite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at +116 for Arizona Cardinals and -136 for New York Giants, a devigged 55% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Arizona Cardinals and 23 for New York Giants.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Arizona Cardinals — Jacoby Brissett (QB) at 216 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Jeremiyah Love (RB) at 48 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 209 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Cardinals at Giants — lines as of Sat, 9/26 · 3:15 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadNYG -2.5
Total43.5
Moneyline (ARI / NYG)+116 / -136
NYG implied win probability55%
Implied team totals (ARI — NYG)20.5 — 23.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Arizona Cardinals · 20.5 proj pts
Jacoby Brissett (QB) — 216 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Jeremiyah Love (RB) — 48 rush yds · 20 rec yds
Trey McBride (TE) — 63 rec yds · 6.2 rec
New York Giants · 23.0 proj pts
Jameis Winston (QB) — 209 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 64 rush yds · 17 rec yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 1 rush yds · 54 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule