Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · NRG Stadium (indoors)

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Cowboys34market had 22.8
Final
Texans30market had 25.8
SpreadHOU -3
Total48.5
Moneyline+130 / -152
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Houston Texans a 3-point favorite over Dallas Cowboys, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +130 for Dallas Cowboys and -152 for Houston Texans, a devigged 58% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.8 for Dallas Cowboys and 25.8 for Houston Texans.

The total has moved from 47.5 to 48.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 250 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 256 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 70 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at NRG Stadium, indoors.

Final: Dallas Cowboys won 34-30; Dallas Cowboys covered the spread (HOU -3) and the game went over the 48.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

DAL 34 — HOU 30

Dallas Cowboys covered the spread (HOU -3) and the game went over the 48.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Cowboys at Texans — lines as of Sun, 10/4 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadHOU -3 (open HOU -2.75)
Total48.5 (open 47.5)
Moneyline (DAL / HOU)+130 / -152
HOU implied win probability58%
Implied team totals (DAL — HOU)22.8 — 25.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Cowboys and Texans this season

Games before Week 4. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Dallas Cowboys1-22-13-029.327.37
Houston Texans0-30-31-218.025.07

Cowboys' last 3 games: L 31-34 vs BAL · W 37-20 vs WAS · L 20-28 @ NYG.

Texans' last 3 games: L 17-19 @ IND · L 6-20 vs CIN · L 31-36 vs BUF.

Pre-game injury report

Dallas Cowboys

Inactive: Camden Brown (WR), Ajani Cornelius (T), Caelen Carson (CB), James Houston (LB).

Houston Texans

Out: Azeez Al-Shaair (LB, groin), M.J. Stewart (S, knee).

Questionable: Ed Ingram (G, groin), Jadeveon Clowney (DE, knee), Jake Hansen (LB, calf), Logan Hall (DE, knee).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/4 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Dallas Cowboys · 22.8 market-implied pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 250 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 63 rush yds · 18 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 2 rush yds · 70 rec yds
Houston Texans · 25.8 market-implied pts
C.J. Stroud (QB) — 256 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Nico Collins (WR) — 2 rush yds · 70 rec yds
David Montgomery (RB) — 55 rush yds · 15 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Cowboys @ Texans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Cowboys @ Texans matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule

Cowboys 2026 schedule

Texans 2026 schedule