Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Reliant Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Houston Texans a 3-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +130 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -155 for Houston Texans, a devigged 58% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.3 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 23.3 for Houston Texans.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 208 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 260 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 77 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Reliant Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -3 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (JAX / HOU) | +130 / -155 |
| HOU implied win probability | 58% |
| Implied team totals (JAX — HOU) | 20.3 — 23.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.