Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · EverBank Stadium

Prediction: Jaguars 26, Titans 20 (market-implied). The market gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 68% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Titans @ Jaguars, on one screen.

Titans20.0win 32%
Market-implied score
Jaguars25.5win 68%
SpreadJAX -5.5
Total45.5
Moneyline+195 / -238
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Titans vs Jaguars prediction

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 5.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 45.5.

Moneylines sit at +195 for Tennessee Titans and -238 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 68% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for Tennessee Titans and 25.5 for Jacksonville Jaguars.

The spread has moved from JAX -6 to JAX -5.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 202 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 238 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at EverBank Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Titans at Jaguars — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -5.5 (open JAX -6)
Total45.5 (open 45.25)
Moneyline (TEN / JAX)+195 / -238
JAX implied win probability68%
Implied team totals (TEN — JAX)20.0 — 25.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Titans and Jaguars this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.97
Jacksonville Jaguars6-25-34-428.615.17

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 33-10 @ BAL · W 42-7 vs IND · L 31-34 vs HOU.

Player projections

Tennessee Titans · 20.0 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 202 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 66 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 51 rec yds · 4.6 rec
Jacksonville Jaguars · 25.5 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 238 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 61 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 58 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Titans @ Jaguars, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Titans @ Jaguars matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule