Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · EverBank Stadium
The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 3.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at +154 for Washington Commanders and -185 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 62% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Washington Commanders and 26 for Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 218 passing yards and 36 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 8 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 222 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at EverBank Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -3.5 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (WAS / JAX) | +154 / -185 |
| JAX implied win probability | 62% |
| Implied team totals (WAS — JAX) | 22.5 — 26.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.