Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Washington Commanders a 4.5-point favourite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at -218 for Washington Commanders and +180 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 34% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26 for Washington Commanders and 21.5 for Arizona Cardinals.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 220 passing yards and 38 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 8 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Jacoby Brissett (QB) at 226 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Trey McBride (TE) at 69 receiving yards and 6.8 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at State Farm Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | WAS -4.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (WAS / ARI) | -218 / +180 |
| ARI implied win probability | 34% |
| Implied team totals (WAS — ARI) | 26.0 — 21.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.