Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 8 2026

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Northwest Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Philadelphia Eagles a 1.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Philadelphia Eagles and +105 for Washington Commanders, a devigged 47% win probability for Washington Commanders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Philadelphia Eagles and 22.5 for Washington Commanders.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Philadelphia Eagles — Jalen Hurts (QB) at 233 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, DeVonta Smith (WR) at 73 receiving yards and 5.5 catches; Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 210 passing yards and 37 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 7 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Northwest Stadium, Washington Commanders take the extra rest, 13 days to 6.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Eagles at Commanders — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadPHI -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline (PHI / WAS)-125 / +105
WAS implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (PHI — WAS)24.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Philadelphia Eagles · 24.5 proj pts
Jalen Hurts (QB) — 233 pass yds · 24 rush yds
DeVonta Smith (WR) — 73 rec yds · 5.5 rec
Saquon Barkley (RB) — 56 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Washington Commanders · 22.0 proj pts
Jayden Daniels (QB) — 210 pass yds · 37 rush yds
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) — 55 rush yds · 7 rec yds
Terry McLaurin (WR) — 52 rec yds · 3.9 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 8 games

← Week 7 · Week 9 → · Full 2026 schedule