Washington Commanders @ Tennessee Titans — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 13 2026

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium

Prediction: Commanders 24, Titans 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Washington Commanders a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Commanders @ Titans, on one screen.

Commanders24.0win 53%
Market-implied score
Titans22.5win 47%
SpreadWAS -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline-125 / +105
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Commanders vs Titans prediction

The market makes Washington Commanders a 1.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Washington Commanders and +105 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 47% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Washington Commanders and 22.5 for Tennessee Titans.

The total has moved from 46 to 46.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 229 passing yards and 37 rushing yards, Rachaad White (RB) at 42 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 214 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Commanders at Titans — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadWAS -1.5
Total46.5 (open 46)
Moneyline (WAS / TEN)-125 / +105
TEN implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (WAS — TEN)24.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Commanders and Titans this season

Games before Week 13. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Washington Commanders2-5-14-44-421.525.37
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.97

Commanders' last 3 games: L 13-20 vs LA · W 27-10 vs PHI · L 17-23 @ SF.

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Player projections

Washington Commanders · 24.0 market-implied pts
Jayden Daniels (QB) — 229 pass yds · 37 rush yds
Rachaad White (RB) — 42 rush yds · 18 rec yds
Stefon Diggs (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.8 rec
Tennessee Titans · 22.5 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 214 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 73 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.7 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Commanders @ Titans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Commanders @ Titans matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 13 games

← Week 12 · Week 14 → · Full 2026 schedule

Commanders 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule