Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 13 2026

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Caesars Superdome (indoors)

Prediction: Packers 25, Saints 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Green Bay Packers a 66% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Packers @ Saints, on one screen.

Packers25.0win 66%
Market-implied score
Saints20.5win 34%
SpreadGB -4.5
Total45.5
Moneyline-225 / +185
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Packers vs Saints prediction

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 4.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 45.5.

Moneylines sit at -225 for Green Bay Packers and +185 for New Orleans Saints, a devigged 34% win probability for New Orleans Saints; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25 for Green Bay Packers and 20.5 for New Orleans Saints.

The total has moved from 45 to 45.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 252 passing yards and 7 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 71 receiving yards and 4.9 catches; New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 240 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 72 receiving yards and 5.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Caesars Superdome, indoors, Green Bay Packers take the extra rest, 11 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Packers at Saints — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -4.5 (open GB -4.25)
Total45.5 (open 45)
Moneyline (GB / NO)-225 / +185
NO implied win probability34%
Implied team totals (GB — NO)25.0 — 20.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Packers and Saints this season

Games before Week 13. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Green Bay Packers6-36-2-13-624.021.211
New Orleans Saints3-53-55-323.127.07

Packers' last 3 games: W 45-27 @ NE · W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET.

Saints' last 3 games: W 23-22 vs CLE · L 10-16 vs PIT · W 34-27 @ NYG.

Player projections

Green Bay Packers · 25.0 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 252 pass yds · 7 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 71 rec yds · 4.9 rec
Matthew Golden (WR) — 1 rush yds · 70 rec yds
New Orleans Saints · 20.5 market-implied pts
Tyler Shough (QB) — 240 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Chris Olave (WR) — 72 rec yds · 5.6 rec
Alvin Kamara (RB) — 40 rush yds · 24 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Packers @ Saints, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Packers @ Saints matchup →

Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 13 games

← Week 12 · Week 14 → · Full 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule

Saints 2026 schedule