Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Caesars Superdome (indoors)
The market makes Green Bay Packers a 4.5-point favourite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at -225 for Green Bay Packers and +185 for New Orleans Saints, a devigged 34% win probability for New Orleans Saints; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25 for Green Bay Packers and 20.5 for New Orleans Saints.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 249 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 74 receiving yards and 4.9 catches; New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 264 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 85 receiving yards and 6.6 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Caesars Superdome, indoors, Green Bay Packers take the extra rest, 11 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | GB -4.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (GB / NO) | -225 / +185 |
| NO implied win probability | 34% |
| Implied team totals (GB — NO) | 25.0 — 20.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.